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Honeywell expects hit to Q1 from Middle East conflict; maintains 2026 forecast

By Thomson Reuters Mar 17, 2026 | 4:24 AM

March 17 (Reuters) – Honeywell International said the Middle East conflict could hit the company’s first-quarter revenue by ​a high-single-digit percentage, an early ‌sign of how the Iran war may impact corporate earnings beyond the aviation and energy industries.

However, the industrial giant remains confident in ‌its ​2026 forecast, viewing the ⁠disruptions as a “tactical ⁠issue” rather than demand-driven, CEO Vimal Kapur said at BofA Securities’ Global Industrials Conference on Tuesday.

The U.S.-Israeli war with ​Iran is rattling businesses worldwide, driving up energy prices – in turn ⁠pushing up costs and ⁠threatening margins – while squeezing supplies ​of critical raw materials and raising questions ​about the reliability of trade routes ‌critical to the flow of goods from food to car parts.

“If something due in March shows up in ⁠April or May, it still won’t change our guide for the year or for that ⁠matter, the ‌next year,” Kapur said.

Honeywell ⁠expects 2026 sales of between $38.8 ​billion ‌and $39.8 billion and a full-year ​adjusted profit ⁠per share of $10.35 to $10.65.

The company’s shares have fallen about 3.7% since the conflict began more than two weeks ago.

(Reporting by Aishwarya Jain in Bengaluru; Editing by ​Anil D’Silva)