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Gold falls on firmer dollar, dimming US rate cut hopes

By Thomson Reuters Mar 11, 2026 | 9:53 PM

By Noel John

March 12 (Reuters) – Gold prices fell on Thursday, weighed down by a firmer U.S. dollar and waning hopes for near‑term U.S. interest‑rate cuts as higher energy prices stoked ​inflation concerns.

Spot gold was down 0.4% at $5,153.79 per ounce ‌as of 0545 GMT. U.S. gold futures for April delivery fell 0.4% to $5,159.20.

The U.S. dollar firmed 0.2%, making dollar-priced bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies. [USD/]

“I think the USD strength and interrelated rates story is a slight headwind for ‌gold ​despite the actual violence that’s taking place, ⁠which is otherwise supportive of ⁠gold,” said Nicholas Frappell, global head of institutional markets at ABC Refinery.

Iran said the world should brace for $200-a-barrel oil after its forces struck merchant ships on Wednesday, while the International Energy Agency ​urged a massive release of strategic reserves to blunt one of the worst oil shocks since the 1970s.

Oil prices rose over $100 a ⁠barrel, adding to inflation pressures, as ⁠Iran stepped up attacks on oil and transport facilities ​across the Middle East. [O/R]

Iran has deployed about a dozen mines in the ​strait, according to sources, a move that could complicate efforts ‌to reopen the narrow waterway, a key route for global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments.

Tankers in the strait have been stranded for more than a week, and producers have suspended output as storage nears ⁠capacity.

Goldman Sachs has delayed its forecast for U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts, and now expects quarter-point reductions in September and December, citing rising inflation risks ⁠linked to the ‌Middle East conflict.

In economic data, the U.S. consumer ⁠price index rose 0.3% in February, matching forecasts and ​accelerating ‌from January’s 0.2% increase. CPI rose 2.4% in ​the year to ⁠February, also in line with expectations.

Investors are now awaiting the release of January’s delayed Personal Consumption Expenditures index on Friday.

Spot silver fell 0.5% to $85.33 per ounce. Spot platinum lost 0.3% to $2,162.24, while palladium rose 0.3% to $1,642.05.

(Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru; Editing by Sumana Nandy, Harikrishnan Nair ​and Rashmi Aich)