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China’s vehicle sales, exports set to cool in 2026

By Thomson Reuters Jan 14, 2026 | 1:45 AM

BEIJING, Jan 14 (Reuters) – China’s vehicle sales and exports are headed for a slowdown amid sluggish demand ‍and lingering external uncertainties, a major Chinese industry association said on Wednesday.

Vehicle sales are expected to grow 1% this year, cooling from 9.4% last year, data ‌from the China Association of ‌Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) showed.

Sales growth of electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids are set to slow to 15.2% from 28.2% while vehicle exports ​are likely to rise 4.3% after a stronger-than-expected 21.1% growth in ‍2025, CAAM data ​showed.

Domestic demand remains insufficient as ​residents’ unsteady income outlook and job insecurity ‍concerns weigh on buying, the association said.

Further, it said the regulation over zero-mileage used cars, a tactic used by automakers to sell new cars ‍as second-hand vehicles at heavily discounted prices, will intensify inventory pressure at home in the ‍short ‍term.

Geopolitical uncertainties and economic and ​trade tensions will put ​downward ⁠pressure on exports, the association ‌said, adding that a push for localising production by Chinese automakers would also dent exports.

(Reporting by Qiaoyi Li, Zhang Yan and Brenda Goh; Editing by Christopher Cushing & ⁠Shri Navaratnam)