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Japan core inflation seen above BOJ target for second month in October: Reuters poll

By Thomson Reuters Nov 13, 2026 | 2:21 AM

TOKYO, Nov 13 (Reuters) – Japan’s core consumer inflation is expected to surpass the central bank’s 2% target for the second ​straight month in October as the ‌impact from the US-Israeli war on Iran continues, a Reuters poll showed on Friday.

• The nationwide core consumer price index, which includes energy items but excludes ‌fresh ​food prices, is expected to ⁠have grown 2.3% in ⁠October from a year earlier, according to a poll of 16 economists

• That compared with a 2.1% gain in September and ​put core inflation above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target — the strongest since last ⁠December.

• “We expect to see continued ⁠strong inflation for food products ​excluding rice, as well as daily necessities due ​to the situation in Iran,” said Ryosuke Katagi, ‌a market economist at Mizuho Securities

• Data from the Bank of Japan on Thursday showed the nation’s wholesale inflation re-accelerated in October ⁠as the Middle East conflict and AI-related demand kept pushing up prices for fuel and semiconductor chips.

• ⁠The BOJ ‌held interest rates steady in ⁠October, but declared victory in hitting ​its ‌price target. The central bank must ​focus on ⁠anchoring it around that level, it said

• The internal affairs ministry will release CPI data at 8:30 a.m. on Friday, November 20 (2330 GMT on November 19)

(Reporting by Kaori Kaneko; Editing by ​Sharon Singleton)