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South Africa’s Treasury says GDP rebasing has improved key fiscal metrics

By Thomson Reuters Nov 5, 2026 | 1:24 AM

JOHANNESBURG, Nov 5 (Reuters) – South Africa’s National Treasury said on Thursday that last week’s rebasing of ​the country’s Gross Domestic ‌Product (GDP) had improved key fiscal metrics, including lowering last year’s peak in the debt-to-GDP ratio.

• The Treasury said in ‌a ​statement that debt-to-GDP peaked ⁠at 74.6% in ⁠the 2025/26 fiscal year based on the statistics agency’s updated GDP estimates, down from the 78.4% ​figure given in last month’s mid-year budget review

• Statistics South Africa’s ⁠rebasing and benchmark ⁠exercise showed the country’s ​economy was about 5% larger than ​previously reported

• The Treasury said the ‌2026/27 main budget deficit was now seen at 3.5% of GDP, against 3.7% in the mid-term budget ⁠review

• The primary surplus is forecast at 1.6% of GDP in 2026/27, rising ⁠to ‌2.8% in 2029/30

• Treasury Director ⁠General Duncan Pieterse said ​although ‌the forecast changes were ​a mechanical ⁠revision, they showed the government “continues to achieve its fiscal targets” and is seeing the benefits in lower borrowing costs

(Reporting by Kopano Gumbi;Editing by ​Alexander Winning)