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Novavax boosts 2026 revenue forecast, betting on licensing deals

By Thomson Reuters Nov 5, 2026 | 7:04 AM

By Sriparna Roy

Nov 5 (Reuters) – Vaccine maker Novavax raised its annual revenue forecast above Wall Street expectations on Thursday, banking on payments related to its licensing deals.

The company has ​relied on licensing deals and partnerships tied to its ‌protein-based vaccine platform and its Matrix-M adjuvant — a compound that boosts the body’s immune response to vaccines.

Novavax now expects 2026 adjusted revenue between $385 million and $415 million, higher than $235 million to $275 million previously and analysts’ average estimate of $380.29 million, according ‌to ​data compiled by LSEG.

The loss-making company is ⁠betting on a licensing agreement ⁠with French drugmaker Sanofi, worth at least $1.2 billion, to reach profitability by 2028.

“We intend to bring new partners forward and it is core to our business model. So not only are ​we open to it, but we proactively try to facilitate and seek that,” Novavax CEO John Jacobs said in an interview.

The ⁠company is aiming to build a library ⁠of data to identify where its technology can ​have the greatest impact, expand the use of its Matrix-M platform, and ​generate evidence to support potential partners’ vaccine programs.

“We view ‌that library as a strategic asset, and as the evidence grows, we believe so too does the potential for new and expanded partnerships,” said Bob Walker, head of research and development at Novavax in ⁠a post-earnings call.

Sanofi plans a late-stage US trial of its influenza-COVID-19 combination vaccine, which uses Novavax’s COVID-19 vaccine Nuvaxovid, in 2027. Novavax is eligible ⁠for a milestone ‌payment of $225 million upon US commercial launch.

The Democrats’ ⁠sweep in the US midterm elections has lifted ​hopes of ‌stability in vaccine policy after a period of ​uncertainty.

“I think ⁠it’s too early to tell in the immediacy what may exactly happen there … I do think that could bode well over time for vaccine manufacturers,” Jacobs said.

Novavax posted a quarterly net loss of $31 million, narrowing from $202 million a year ago.

(Reporting by Sriparna Roy in Bengaluru; Editing ​by Sahal Muhammed)