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Gold jumps over 2% on softer dollar after Democratic midterm wins

By Thomson Reuters Nov 3, 2026 | 6:58 PM

By Sukanya Mitra

Nov 4 (Reuters) – Gold prices rose 2% on Wednesday, supported by a weaker US dollar after Democrats secured key victories in midterm elections, while investors looked ahead ​to non-farm payrolls data later this week for clues ‌on the Federal Reserve’s policy path.

Spot gold climbed 2.2% to $4,016.01 per ounce by 0619 GMT, while US gold futures for December delivery rose 2.2% to $4,026.90.

“A weaker USD and a punchy decline in both nominal and real US Treasury ‌yields ​are clearly providing support for gold,” said ⁠Chris Weston, head of research ⁠at Pepperstone.

Additionally, “the demand for protection against a potentially more unpredictable and confrontational Trump administration looks to be providing a compelling backdrop for gold buyers,” Weston added.

Global stocks slumped, and the dollar ​softened on Wednesday as Democrats scored a decisive win in the US midterm elections. [MKTS/GLOB] [USD/]

A softer dollar makes greenback-priced bullion more affordable ⁠for buyers overseas.

On the geopolitical front, ⁠Iran and the United States are still far from ​a deal to end their war, a senior Iranian official told ​Reuters on Tuesday, as Trump declined to rule out resuming ‌US combat operations after the elections.

Traders currently see a 79% chance that the Fed will raise rates in December, according to CME’s FedWatch tool. Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding ⁠non-yielding bullion, reducing its appeal to investors.

Markets now await the US non-farm payrolls report due on Friday.

“$4,000 is the obvious resistance level — and a ⁠break (on) either side ‌of that range could dictate gold’s next decent ⁠move,” said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at ​StoneX.

India’s ‌gold demand is expected to fall to a ​six-year low ⁠in 2026, as elevated prices weigh on jewellery sales and investment demand moderates, the World Gold Council (WGC) said on Tuesday.

Among other metals, spot silver gained 3.8% to $51.67, platinum 2.8% to $1,455.71 and palladium climbed 3.8% to $969.49.

(Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu, Janane Venkatraman ​and Ronojoy Mazumdar)