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South Korea October headline inflation moderates ahead of expected rate hike

By Thomson Reuters Nov 2, 2026 | 5:35 PM

SEOUL, Nov 3 (Reuters) – South Korea’s headline inflation slowed in October, government data showed on ​Tuesday, providing a slight reprieve ‌for central bankers but remaining firmly above target.

Consumer prices rose 2.8% year-on-year in October, down from a 2.9% gain ‌in ​September and nearly ⁠matching a 2.85% increase ⁠forecast in a Reuters poll of economists.

The consumer price index rose 0.2% on a monthly basis ​after gaining 0.3% in the previous month, the data showed.

While ⁠the slower growth ⁠offers the Bank of Korea ​a brief respite, inflation remains well ​above its 2.0% target.

Amid elevated global ‌energy prices and rising household borrowing, the BOK is widely expected to hike rates in the ⁠coming months, maintaining its tight monetary posture to calm persistent inflationary pressures in ⁠Asia’s fourth-largest ‌economy.

A separate poll showed ⁠consensus forecasts put the ​peak ‌policy interest rate at 3.50%, ​which ⁠prices in one more hike this November and another in the first quarter of 2027.

(Reporting by Cynthia Kim and Moonyoung Tae; Editing by ​Jamie Freed)