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Trump’s tariffs fail to cut US trade deficit, IW report shows

By Thomson Reuters Oct 30, 2026 | 2:03 AM

BERLIN, Oct 30 (Reuters) – United States President Donald Trump’s economic agenda has delivered robust growth and strong investment ​but failed to reduce the trade ‌deficit, according to a study by the German Economic Institute IW seen by Reuters on Friday.

Here are some key points from the report:

• Trump’s ‌tax ​cuts, tariffs and drive ⁠to revive domestic ⁠manufacturing had produced mixed results. Gross domestic product growth remained solid and AI-related investment was buoyant, but job creation lagged ​the prior administration and inflation remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

• The ⁠U.S. goods trade ⁠deficit reached $130 billion in August, exceeding ​its level two years earlier, despite sweeping ​import tariffs.

• Trade patterns had shifted, however. ‌The European Union’s share of the deficit fell to 7% from 20% in August 2024. China’s share of the trade ⁠deficit declined to 14% from 29%.

• Efforts to bring manufacturing back have so far fallen short. ⁠Foreign direct ‌investment inflows fell 8.2% ⁠to $248 billion in 2025, 18% below ​the ‌2015–2024 average.

• The U.S.-Israeli war ​against Iran ⁠is increasing already high public debt and pushing up interest rates, with creditors questioning whether the U.S. can sustain its outstanding debt of $40 trillion.

(Reporting by Maria MartinezEditing by ​Linda Pasquini)