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New Zealand central bank governor says chances of December hike are ‘high’

By Thomson Reuters Oct 28, 2026 | 7:22 PM

WELLINGTON, Oct 29 (Reuters) – New Zealand central bank governor Anna Breman said on Thursday chances the bank ​will hike the official cash ‌rate in December are “high”.

“What we are saying is all the committee agree that it is likely that we will see ‌further ​OCR (official cash rate) increases,” ⁠Breman told the ⁠New Zealand Herald. “Timing is uncertain and it will depend on economic outlook and how inflation is evolving.”

When asked ​what the chances of a hike were for December, she responded: “I ⁠would say that ⁠they were high.”

The Reserve Bank ​of New Zealand on Wednesday surprised markets ​by holding the cash rate at ‌2.75% at its scheduled monetary policy review but flagged further hikes were likely.

The New Zealand dollar fell sharply ⁠after the decision and the market is currently pricing a 77% chance of a ⁠hike in ‌December.

Breman added in the ⁠interview that she wanted people ​to ‌understand that while they ​are living ⁠in uncertain times “the Reserve Bank will stay very calm and focused on our mandate and ensuring inflation returns to target.”

(Reporting by Lucy Craymer; editing by ​Sam Holmes)