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Spotify forecasts fourth-quarter profit above estimates on AI bets

By Thomson Reuters Oct 22, 2026 | 5:02 AM

Oct 22 (Reuters) – Spotify forecast fourth-quarter profit above Wall Street estimates on Thursday, as the Swedish music streaming company bets on its AI-powered features ​to drive user growth in the crucial holiday ‌season.

The company expects operating income of €820 million ($920.53 million), compared with analysts’ average estimate of €813.4 million, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Shares of the company were last up more than 3% in ‌volatile ​premarket trading.

Spotify offers AI-powered features such ⁠as its AI DJ, ⁠which curates personalized music mixes with spoken commentary, and prompt-based playlists that let users describe a mood or listening preference to generate tailored selections.

Investors closely monitor ​the company’s profitability as it invests in AI to improve discovery and engagement on the platform to ⁠attract more users and fend ⁠off emerging music-generation rivals such as Suno ​and Udio.

In the third quarter, the company reported operating income ​of €672 million, in line with Visible Alpha-compiled analysts’ ‌average estimate of €671.8 million.

Spotify reported revenue of €4.97 billion in the quarter, compared with estimates of €4.98 billion, according to LSEG data.

“This was a quarter where we did what we ⁠said. We’ve built a strong business that keeps compounding, we invest when we see a path for growth, our costs ⁠are moderating, ‌and there is more runway ahead,” co-CEO ⁠Alex Norstrom said in a statement.

Spotify’s monthly ​active ‌users forecast of 818 million for the ​fourth quarter ⁠was marginally below Visible Alpha estimates of 819 million, while its outlook for a 10 million increase in premium subscribers to 316 million was above estimates of 314.7 million.

($1 = 0.8908 euros)

(Reporting by Jaspreet Singh in Bengaluru; Editing ​by Sriraj Kalluvila)