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BOJ chief flags inflation overshoot risk, stresses importance of 2% anchor

By Thomson Reuters Oct 16, 2026 | 2:31 AM

TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) – Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda on Friday reiterated the risks of underlying inflation overshooting the ​central bank’s 2% target, stressing the ‌growing importance of keeping price pressures anchored around that level.

In a speech read out by Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida at a meeting of Japanese credit ‌unions, ​Ueda said factors including tensions ⁠in the Middle East, ⁠AI-related demand and currency swings could affect Japan’s economy and prices, pointing to a risk that underlying inflation could exceed the ​BOJ’s price target.

“The perspective of anchoring underlying inflation at around 2% has become ⁠more important than before,” Ueda ⁠said, highlighting the need to ​ensure that any overshoot of the BOJ’s target ​does not harm the economy.

The speech, which ‌largely repeated remarks Ueda made earlier this month, comes ahead of the BOJ’s October 29 and 30 policy meeting, when the central ⁠bank will release fresh quarterly growth and inflation forecasts that market participants will scrutinise for clues on ⁠the timing ‌of the next rate hike.

The ⁠BOJ raised its key rate to ​a ‌31-year high last month, while signalling ​that it ⁠had entered a phase focused on preventing underlying inflation from overshooting its target, raising the prospect of tighter policy.

(Reporting by Takahiko Wada and Makiko Yamazaki; Editing by Jacqueline Wong and ​Thomas Derpinghaus)