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Le Pen, Melenchon head for run-off as France’s political divide deepens, poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Oct 12, 2026 | 1:00 AM

PARIS, Oct 12 (Reuters) – French far-right leader Marine Le Pen and hard-left rival Jean-Luc Melenchon widened their lead over other candidates ​and would face each other in ‌a run-off in all tested scenarios, a poll showed on Monday, stressing growing polarisation as President Emmanuel Macron’s era ends.

• Le Pen would top the first-round vote with ‌between ​35% and 37% depending ⁠on the scenarios tested ⁠by pollster Toluna Harris Interactive in a survey carried out between October 5 and October 8

• A similar poll last month showed her ​at between 33% and 36%

• Melenchon, the candidate of the far-left France Unbowed (LFI) party, ⁠is seen reaching a run-off ⁠in all the five scenarios polled

• ​A similar poll last month showed him finishing ​third in two configurations out of five

• Le ‌Pen is seen beating Melenchon easily in a run-off

• As Macron’s second and final five-year term comes to an end, the unpopular president ⁠leaves behind a hollowed-out political centre and weak economy, creating an opening for hardline parties, such as LFI ⁠and Le ‌Pen’s National Rally

• Melenchon has ⁠already run three times for president ​in 2012, ‌2017 and 2022 but has ​never managed ⁠to reach the second round. Le Pen has also run these same three times. She made it to the run-off in 2017 and 2022, but lost to Macron

(Reporting by Inti Landauro; Editing by ​Jacqueline Wong)