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World Bank sees Nigeria growth averaging 4.4% through 2028

By Thomson Reuters Oct 8, 2026 | 9:08 AM

By Camillus Eboh

ABUJA, Oct 8 (Reuters) – Nigeria’s economy is expected to grow by an average of 4.4% a year through 2028, ​with inflation and poverty declining if the ‌government sustains reforms and improves service delivery, the World Bank said on Thursday.

• In its latest Nigeria Development Update, the lender said reforms including the removal of ‌petrol ​subsidies and exchange-rate changes had ⁠boosted revenues available to ⁠state governments, creating scope for higher spending on infrastructure, education and healthcare

• Nigeria’s economy grew 4.2% in the first half of 2026, ​up from 3.9% in 2025, driven mainly by services and agriculture, while inflation is projected ⁠to ease to around ⁠12% by 2028 from around 15%, ​the World Bank said

• Taiwo Oyedele, minister of finance ​and coordinating minister of the economy, said ‌at an event where the report was presented that reforms had helped stabilise the economy and put it on a path to faster growth

• Oyedele ⁠said Nigeria’s economy was growing faster than its population, which should help reduce poverty if sustained, and ⁠added that the ‌government’s focus was on private ⁠sector-led and job-rich growth

• The World ​Bank ‌said state revenues rose about 93% ​in real ⁠terms between 2023 and 2025, but urged states to improve spending efficiency and invest more in human capital to raise living standards and reduce poverty

(Reporting by Camillus Eboh;Writing by Chijioke Ohuocha, Editing by ​Xevi Fontdegloria)