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Flavio Bolsonaro slightly ahead of Lula in Brazil runoff, Datafolha poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Oct 8, 2026 | 4:57 PM

SAO PAULO, Oct 8 (Reuters) – Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro is slightly leading President ​Luiz Inacio Lula da ‌Silva in a simulated scenario of the October 25 presidential runoff, a Datafolha poll showed ‌on ​Thursday.

• The senator, ⁠the eldest son ⁠of former President Jair Bolsonaro, would receive 49% of the vote compared with ​45% for Lula, Datafolha poll showed.

• It is ⁠the first Datafolha ⁠poll after the first-round ​vote on Sunday, in which ​the younger Bolsonaro surprisingly led ‌Lula.

• The poll’s result still represents a technical tie as the poll’s margin ⁠of error is of plus-minus 2 percentage points.

• 5% of the ⁠respondents ‌said they would cast ⁠a blank vote, ​and ‌undecided voters made up ​1%, the ⁠poll showed.

• Datafolha surveyed 2,520 people in-person between October 6-7.

(Reporting by Andre Romani; Editing by Kylie Madry and ​Iñigo Alexander)