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India household inflation expectations rise on higher food, fuel costs, RBI survey shows

By Thomson Reuters Oct 7, 2026 | 7:30 AM

Oct 7 (Reuters) – Indian households are expecting inflation to head higher, a central bank survey showed on Wednesday, ​signalling that rising food and ‌fuel prices are starting to have an impact beyond headline inflation.

On Wednesday, the Indian central bank raised rates for the first time in ‌nearly ​four years to stem ⁠rising inflation.

Household inflation expectations ⁠are closely watched because they can influence spending and wage demands. The central bank has said such surveys reflect ​sentiment and are not a direct forecast of actual inflation.

Here are the ⁠details:

• The Reserve Bank ⁠of India said the median ​inflation perception for the period during which ​the survey was conducted rose to ‌8.4% in the September round of the survey from 7.8% in the previous survey

• The median inflation expectations for the ⁠next three months increased to 9.9% from 9.2% and one-year expectations climbed to 10.0% from ⁠9.4%, the ‌RBI said

• The survey, conducted ⁠from September 10 to September ​20 ‌across 19 major cities, drew ​5,987 responses

• ⁠The share of respondents expecting general inflation to rise also edged up for both time horizons, the central bank said

(Reporting by Anuran Sadhu in Bengaluru; Editing by ​Mrigank Dhaniwala)