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Canadian factory PMI hits six-month low in September on trade frictions

By Thomson Reuters Oct 1, 2026 | 8:35 AM

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, Oct 1 (Reuters) – Canada’s manufacturing sector expanded at the slowest pace in six months in September as trade frictions and elevated energy prices ​weighed on activity, while confidence in the outlook ‌dropped to the lowest level in nine months.

The S&P Global Canada Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 51.5 last month from 53.0 in August, marking the lowest level since March. A reading above 50 indicates expansion ‌in ​the sector.

• “Canada’s manufacturing economy showed a ⁠degree of resilience in ⁠the face of several headwinds during September,” Paul Smith, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said in a statement. “However, tariffs and elevated global energy prices due to the war in ​Iran continued to have a damaging impact on the sector.”

• A US import ban on many Canadian alcoholic ⁠beverages, motorcycles and dairy products took ⁠effect on Tuesday after talks involving President Donald ​Trump and Prime Minister Mark Carney broke down in August.

• ​The output index dipped to 50.8 from 52.8 in ‌August, while the new orders measure slipped below the 50 threshold for the first time since March.

• “These issues didn’t just cause present difficulties, such as around stock and production management, ⁠but also added to a pervading uncertainty amongst clients and manufacturers alike especially given the seemingly intractable nature of trade tensions ⁠with the US ‌and the ongoing conflict in the Middle ⁠East,” Smith said.

• The future output index fell ​to ‌its lowest level since December 2025 at ​54.6, down ⁠from 58.7 in August, while delivery delays grew the most widespread since August 2022 and inflation pressures intensified.

• The measure of input costs rose to 71.1 from 66.4 in August, notching its highest level since July 2022.

(Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing ​by Chizu Nomiyama )