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Inflation up in five German states in September, pointing to national rise

By Thomson Reuters Sep 30, 2026 | 3:25 AM

By Maria Martinez

BERLIN, Sept 30 (Reuters) – Inflation rose in five key German states in September, preliminary data showed on Wednesday, suggesting ​Germany’s national inflation rate could increase ‌this month.

• In Bavaria, the inflation rate rose to 3.2% in September from 2.9% in August. In North Rhine-Westphalia and in Lower Saxony it increased to 3.3% ‌from ​2.9%, in Baden-Wuerttemberg it ⁠rose to 2.9% from ⁠2.6% and in Hesse it rose to 3.4% from 3.0%.

• The war in Iran has pushed up energy and raw material prices ​in previous months and the German government now expects inflation to accelerate to 2.7% ⁠this year and 2.8% in ⁠2027.

• Economists polled by Reuters are ​forecasting a harmonised national inflation rate in Germany – ​the euro zone’s largest economy – of 3.2% ‌in September, up from 2.9% in the previous month. National figures will be released later on Wednesday.

• The German data comes ahead of ⁠the euro zone inflation release on Friday. Inflation in the bloc is expected to come in at 3.6% ⁠in September, ‌up from 3.2% in the ⁠previous month, according to economists polled ​by ‌Reuters.

• This year’s inflation surge has ​yet to ⁠generate dangerous second-round effects across the euro zone, so a moderate policy response from the European Central Bank remains appropriate, ECB chief Christine Lagarde said on Monday.

(Reporting by Maria Martinez, Editing by ​Miranda Murray)