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Far-right Le Pen and hard-left Melenchon seen reaching French presidential run-off, poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Sep 28, 2026 | 4:42 AM

Sept 28 (Reuters) – French far-right candidate Marine Le Pen and far-left contender Jean-Luc Melenchon are seen reaching a run-off vote ​in next year’s presidential election in ‌each of five scenarios polled, according to a survey published on Monday.

The results of the poll suggest that French voters may face a contest ‌between ​extremes in the election, set ⁠for next April ⁠and May, with centrists falling behind at a time of rising prices, a sluggish economy and geopolitical instability.

• Le Pen, who ​leads the far-right National Rally (RN), is seen winning 35% to 36% in the ⁠first round, the Toluna ⁠Harris Interactive poll showed, up ​from 33% in an earlier poll published on ​September 14.

• Melenchon, of the France Unbowed ‌party, would join Le Pen in the second round, winning between 17% and 18%, according to the survey, which was conducted ⁠from September 22 to 24 for French TV channel M6 and Luxembourg-based media group RTL.

• Leading centrist ⁠hopeful Edouard ‌Philippe was seen winning 13% ⁠to 16%, not enough to ​reach ‌the run-off.

• Le Pen is seen ​beating both ⁠Melenchon and Philippe in the second round. She would win 69% of votes against Melenchon and 57% against Philippe, according to the survey.

(Reporting by Mateusz Rabiega in GdanskEditing by ​Gareth Jones)