×

Brazil’s Flavio Bolsonaro, Lula tied in runoff scenario, Atlas poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Sep 17, 2026 | 5:28 AM

SAO PAULO, Sept 17 (Reuters) – Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva remain ​statistically tied in a simulated runoff ‌ahead of next month’s election, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed on Thursday, with the right-wing challenger holding a narrow lead within the ‌survey’s ​margin of error.

• In ⁠a runoff, the eldest ⁠son of former President Jair Bolsonaro would receive 47.2% of voter support, compared with 46.8% for the leftist ​incumbent, the poll said.

• In a September 10 poll, Bolsonaro led Lula ⁠46.4% to 46.2%.

• ⁠In a first-round scenario, Lula ​would receive 44.1% of voter support, followed ​by Bolsonaro with 41.7%, Renan Santos with ‌5.1%, and Augusto Cury with 3.5%.

• The previous poll showed Lula at 43% and Bolsonaro at 37.4% in ⁠the first round.

• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the ⁠October 4 ‌election, the two frontrunners ⁠advance to a runoff on ​October ‌25.

• AtlasIntel surveyed 5,018 people ​between September ⁠11 and 16. The poll has a margin of error of 1 percentage point.

(Reporting by Gabriel Araujo in Sao Paulo and Michael Susin in BarcelonaEditing by ​Tomasz Janowski)