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ECB’s wage tracker points to modest uptick in negotiated pay growth

By Thomson Reuters Sep 16, 2026 | 3:16 AM

FRANKFURT, Sept 16 (Reuters) – The European Central Bank’s updated wage tracker ​is pointing to ‌a modest uptick in negotiated pay growth in the first half of 2027 ‌after ​broadly steady ⁠increases for the ⁠rest of this year, ECB data showed on Wednesday.

The ECB’s headline ​indicator suggests negotiated wage growth of ⁠2.6% to 2.7% ⁠through the end ​of the first quarter ​of next year, then ‌a pick up to 2.8%, the bank said.

The ECB is keenly ⁠watching wage developments to see if the recent inflation surge ⁠is ‌fuelling undue ⁠pay demands, but it ​has ‌long argued that ​figures ⁠around 3% are consistent with its own 2% inflation target.

(Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Hugh ​Lawson)