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Lula maintains lead over Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of Brazil election, Datafolha poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Sep 11, 2026 | 5:04 PM

SAO PAULO, Sept 11 (Reuters) – Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva maintained the numerical ​lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro ‌in a potential runoff of the October election, a Datafolha poll showed on Friday.

• Lula is seen with 46% ‌of ​the vote in ⁠a potential runoff, against ⁠44% for the senator, a son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, according to Datafolha.

• The figures ​did not change from the previous poll last week.

• In ⁠a first-round scenario, ⁠Lula would lead with 39% ​of the vote, followed by Bolsonaro (35%), ​Augusto Cury (6%), and Ronaldo Caiado (4%).

• In ‌the previous poll, Lula had 38%, and Flavio Bolsonaro, 33%, in the first round.

• If no ⁠candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the first round, the ⁠two frontrunners ‌advance to a runoff, ⁠which has happened in ​every ‌presidential election since 2002.

• Datafolha ​surveyed ⁠2,002 people between September 8-10, and has a margin of error of two percentage points.

(Reporting by Andre Romani; Editing by Chris Reese and ​Kylie Madry)