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Barclays lifts S&P 500 index’s year-end target to 7,950 on strong earnings

By Thomson Reuters Sep 9, 2026 | 6:45 AM

Sept 9 (Reuters) – Barclays raised its year-end target for the benchmark S&P 500 index to 7,950 from 7,800 on Wednesday, following a standout ​earnings season led by technology companies.

The revised ‌target is about 3.6% higher than the index’s last close. The brokerage sees the benchmark reaching 8,800 points by the end of 2027.

U.S. corporate earnings have outperformed Wall Street ‌expectations ​in the second quarter; 86% ⁠of the 492 S&P ⁠500 companies that have reported results exceeded analysts’ estimates, higher than the long-term average of 67.5%, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Barclays said AI ​investment and healthy economic activity should support earnings momentum in the coming quarters.

But the brokerage said ⁠it remains conservative on valuations ⁠because of doubts over the durability ​of the AI spending, resilient inflation, geopolitical uncertainty and ​a more hawkish rate outlook. The benchmark index ‌has risen 12.1% this year despite the concerns.

The brokerage also lifted its 2026 earnings-per-share forecast for the S&P 500 to $365 from $337.

It downgraded the utilities sector ⁠to “neutral” from “positive,” citing regulatory uncertainties, including challenges around wildfire liability reform and growing opposition to data center permitting ⁠in some U.S. ‌states.

On Tuesday, HSBC also raised its year-end ⁠target, betting that strong corporate earnings ​and ‌sustained spending on AI infrastructure will ​extend the ⁠benchmark index’s rally.

Expectations for the index remain bullish, with UBS Global Research, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup projecting the S&P 500 will end the year at or above 8,000.

(Reporting by Akriti Shah in Bengaluru; Editing by ​Sahal Muhammed)