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Conflict over Taiwan would be disastrous, de facto US ambassador says

By Thomson Reuters Sep 8, 2026 | 9:07 PM

TAIPEI, Sept 9 (Reuters) – Any conflict across the Taiwan Strait would have a bigger impact on the global economy than World War Two, and the upcoming U.S.-China ​summit is an opportunity to avoid miscalculations, the top ‌U.S. diplomat in Taipei said on Wednesday.

While the U.S., like most countries, has no formal diplomatic relations with Chinese-claimed Taiwan, it is the democratically governed island’s most important international backer and arms supplier.

Speaking at a defence ‌forum ​in Taipei, Raymond Greene, director of the ⁠American Institute in Taiwan, ⁠said there was no topic more timely or important than how to secure peace in the Taiwan Strait.

“Beyond the human toll, any conflict across the Taiwan Strait would have a ​bigger impact on the global economy than the Second World War,” he said.

“The United States under the Trump administration ⁠has made preserving peace in the ⁠Indo-Pacific one of its top priorities,” Greene added.

That ​includes “vigorous” diplomacy, especially at the highest levels, he said.

“The upcoming U.S.-China ​summit is an opportunity to further advance a relationship ‌of strategic stability, on the basis of fairness and reciprocity, that can avoid misunderstandings and miscalculations,” Greene added.

Chinese President Xi Jinping is expected to travel to the United States later this ⁠month for a meeting with President Donald Trump.

Greene said that the U.S. was also reinforcing its presence and partnerships in the Indo-Pacific region ⁠to maintain a “favourable ‌regional balance of power”.

“Third, and especially relevant ⁠to today’s discussion, we are supporting Taiwan’s work ​to ‌enhance its ability to defend itself.”

Taiwan President Lai ​Ching-te’s administration ⁠has made stepped-up defence spending and military modernisation priorities, given the threat level from China.

The government, which rejects Beijing’s sovereignty claims, has budgeted defence spending for next year to exceed T$1 trillion for the first time.

(Reporting by Ben Blanchard; Editing by Tom Hogue ​and Michael Perry)