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BoE’s Bailey says market curve shows inflation “risk premium”

By Thomson Reuters Sep 8, 2026 | 9:09 AM

Sept 8 (Reuters) – Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said the market curve for interest rate ​expectations reflected investors adding a “risk ‌premium” because of their worry about further energy price increases.

Bailey told lawmakers from parliament’s Treasury Committee that the central bank’s ‌analysis ​showed investors were ⁠pricing in additional tightening ⁠in policy, on top of what could be explained by expectations for BoE policy moves alone.

“When you ​look at the market curve, and when you break the ⁠market curve down as ⁠far as we can ​do … they’ve got essentially a risk premium ​in there,” Bailey told lawmakers from ‌parliament’s Treasury Committee.

Bailey added that he wanted to dispel the idea that a rate hike from the ⁠Bank of England was a question of “when” rather than a possibility that hinged on ⁠developments ‌in the economy.

“What I ⁠want to dispel is the ​idea ‌that we’ve really got ​a secret ⁠plan, we know where we’re going to go to and it’s unconditional.”

(Reporting by David Milliken and Sam Tobin, writing by Andy Bruce, editing by ​William James)