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Japan July real wages rise 2.4%, biggest gain since 2021

By Thomson Reuters Sep 7, 2026 | 6:32 PM

By Satoshi Sugiyama

TOKYO, Sept 8 (Reuters) – Japan’s real wages rose 2.4% in July from a year earlier, marking the biggest increase since May 2021 and the seventh ​consecutive month of gains, government data showed on ‌Tuesday, signalling that pay trends were gradually recovering.

• The solid wage data supports the case for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates at next week’s policy meeting, three months after its previous rate hike, ‌and ​to continue tightening thereafter.

• The growth ⁠in real pay was better ⁠than June’s revised 2.2% gain.

• A labour ministry official said in addition to the boost from special payments, steady growth in nominal wages and relatively mild inflation have helped ​lift real wages.

• Average nominal wages, or total cash earnings, rose 4.7% to 436,401 yen ($2,799.96) a month, the biggest ⁠jump since January 1997 and faster ⁠than a revised 4% gain in June.

• Workers’ ​base salaries, or regular pay, increased 4.1%, the fastest rise ​since April 1992 and accelerating from a revised 3.5% ‌rise in June. Overtime pay growth in July stood at 3.1%, slowing from June’s revised 3.4%.

• Special payments, consisting mostly of one-time bonuses that tend to be volatile, jumped 6.3% in ⁠July after revised 4.7% growth for June.

• The inflation rate used by the ministry to calculate the headline real wage indicator rose ⁠to 2.2% in ‌July from 1.9% in June, reaching 2% for ⁠the first time this year. It remained ​below ‌year-earlier levels, when it stood at 3.6%.

• BOJ ​Governor Kazuo ⁠Ueda said last week the central bank would debate raising interest rates at upcoming meetings, including in September, with a focus on whether inflationary risks were heightening, signalling a strong chance of a hike this month.

($1 = 155.8600 yen)

(Reporting by Satoshi Sugiyama; Editing ​by Jamie Freed)