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Swedish election is close race with 10 days to go, poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Sep 3, 2026 | 7:27 AM

STOCKHOLM, Sept 3 (Reuters) – Sweden’s ruling right-wing bloc has closed in on the centre-left opposition ahead of a parliamentary election on ​September 13, according to a fresh opinion ‌poll released on Thursday, the second survey this week to indicate a close race.

While earlier polls have pointed to near-certain victory for the opposition headed by Social ‌Democrats ​leader Magdalena Andersson, the latest ⁠surveys show that the ⁠government of Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, in office since 2022, may still win.

Backing for the four centre-left parties was 50.6% in the Demoskop ​survey for dailies Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet, while the three-party government and its support ⁠party, the anti-immigration Sweden Democrats, ⁠stood at 47.3%.

The gap of 3.3 ​percentage points between left and right was the ​second-smallest of any Swedish opinion poll published this ‌year and compares with a 5.8 point gap in Demoskop’s previous poll.

But the new poll still showed Kristersson’s junior coalition partner, the Liberals, ⁠firmly below parliament’s 4% threshold, at 2.8%. Taking that into account, the right would take 163 out of ⁠345 parliamentary ‌seats, well below 186 for the ⁠centre-left.

Two weeks ago the centre-left held ​a ‌10 percentage point lead in a ​poll by ⁠a different agency, which political scientists at the time said was a near-insurmountable gap to bridge before election day.

Demoskop polled 1,998 voters between August 25 and September 1.

(Reporting by Anna Ringstrom, editing by ​Terje Solsvik)