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Lula’s lead over Flavio Bolsonaro narrows ahead of Brazil election, Datafolha poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Sep 3, 2026 | 5:22 PM

SAO PAULO, Sept 3 (Reuters) – The lead of Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva over Senator ​Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of the ‌October election has narrowed, a Datafolha poll showed on Thursday, following a similar trend seen in other polls.

Lula is seen with ‌46% ​of the vote in ⁠a potential runoff, ⁠against 44% for the senator, a son of former President Jair Bolsonaro. In a mid-August poll, Lula had ​47% of the vote, and Bolsonaro had 43%.

• Polls from Quaest ⁠and AtlasIntel/Bloomberg had ⁠also shown Lula’s lead narrowing ​in the past few days

• In a ​first-round scenario, Lula would lead with ‌38% of the vote, followed by Bolsonaro (33%), Augusto Cury (8%), and Ronaldo Caiado (4%)

• In August, Lula had 39%, and ⁠Flavio Bolsonaro, 33%

• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the ⁠first ‌round, the two frontrunners advance ⁠to a runoff, which ​has ‌happened in every presidential election ​since 2002

• ⁠Datafolha surveyed 2,002 people between September 1-2, and has a margin of error of two percentage points

(Reports by Andre Romani; Editing by Chris Reese and ​Natalia Siniawski)