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Quebec to hold Oct 5 election, separatists favored to win

By Thomson Reuters Aug 27, 2026 | 10:36 AM

Aug 27 (Reuters) – Quebec will hold an election on October 5, with polls showing that the next government is likely to be ​formed by separatists who want independence for ‌the predominantly French-speaking Canadian province — but not while U.S. President Donald Trump is in office.

Premier Christine Frechette, who leads the right-of-center Coalition Avenir Quebec government, made the announcement on ‌Thursday ​at a press conference to ⁠begin her campaign for ⁠re-election. Under Quebec’s fixed-date election law, October 5 is the latest day a province-wide vote can be held.

The CAQ first came to power ​in 2018 and won reelection in 2022 but is trailing the separatist Parti Quebecois amid voter ⁠fatigue and anger over high ⁠living costs and a struggling medical ​system.

The PQ, set to take power for the first ​time in more than a decade, have ‌long promised to hold another referendum on splitting from Canada.

But last week, PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon said that if he won power, the party ⁠would not call a referendum until Trump leaves office, in 2029. Quebec has been one of the hardest-hit provinces ⁠amid the ‌deepening trade war with the U.S. ⁠and Trump is more disliked there ​than ‌elsewhere in Canada.

Two previous independence votes, ​in 1980 ⁠and 1995, both failed and a series of polls over the last two years show a solid majority are against the idea of breaking away from Canada.

(Reporting by David Ljunggren and Maria Cheng; Editing by ​Mark Porter)