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UK posts unexpected budget deficit in July as spending rises

By Thomson Reuters Aug 21, 2026 | 1:30 AM

Aug 21 (Reuters) – Britain’s government recorded an unexpected budget deficit of £1.8 billion ($2.5 billion) in July, as higher government spending caused by ​inflation counteracted record self-assessed income tax receipts ‌for the month.

A Reuters poll of economists had pointed to a balanced budget, while the Office for Budget Responsibility’s projections had pencilled in a £500 million surplus — which ‌would ​have been the first for ⁠any July since before ⁠the COVID-19 pandemic.

But the Office for National Statistics said central government expenditure on social benefits was up £2 billion in July compared with a ​year ago, while spending on goods and services — which includes staff costs — was up £1.2 ⁠billion.

Borrowing for the first four ⁠months of the financial year stood ​at £56.7 billion, against the OBR’s projection of £54.4 billion ​for this point.

Overall the data underlined the financial ‌constraints facing new Prime Minister Andy Burnham and his finance minister John Healey, who is preparing a budget for October — despite some surprisingly ⁠upbeat economic growth data recently.

The current budget deficit, which must be balanced in 2029/30 according to the current ⁠fiscal rules, ‌stood at £34.7 billion over the April-July ⁠period, against the OBR’s projection of £36.7 ​billion.

“Fiscal ‌discipline is the bedrock of our ​UK economic ⁠stability and national security which is why we are committed to meeting our fiscal rules, with a buffer against global uncertainties,” Healey said in a statement.

($1 = 0.7324 pounds)

(Reporting by Andy Bruce; editing by ​William James)