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Japan’s wholesale inflation spikes in July, bolsters rate-hike chance

By Thomson Reuters Aug 12, 2026 | 7:06 PM

By Leika Kihara

TOKYO, Aug 13 (Reuters) – Japan’s annual wholesale inflation continued its surge in July, data showed on Thursday, ​highlighting broadening price pressures and reinforcing ‌market expectations of an interest rate hike in September.

The producer price index rose 7.2% in July from a year earlier, after a revised 7.3% ‌gain ​in June, Bank of ⁠Japan data showed. ⁠It compared with market forecasts for a 7.4% increase.

The data came in the wake of growing hawkish communication from the BOJ ​including a summary of opinions at its July meeting, where some policymakers ⁠called for speeding up ⁠the pace of rate hikes to ​combat inflation risks.

On a month-on-month basis, the ​index edged up 0.1% in July, after ‌a revised 0.5% increase in June, the data showed.

The yen-based import price index rose 29.1% in July from a year earlier, ⁠after a revised 30.1% surge in June, a sign the currency’s weakness was pushing up import ⁠costs and ‌broader inflation.

The BOJ kept policy ⁠steady last month, but warned ​for ‌the first time that underlying ​inflation could ⁠exceed its target and said future discussions would focus on upside price risks, signalling the chance of a rate hike as soon as September.

(Reporting by Leika Kihara; Editing by ​Tom Hogue)