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US rate futures cut chances of September rate hike after jobs data

By Thomson Reuters Aug 7, 2026 | 7:46 AM

NEW YORK, Aug 7 (Reuters) – U.S. interest rate futures ​on Friday ‌reduced the chances that the Federal Reserve will raise interest ‌rates ​at ⁠next month’s policy ⁠meeting after an unexpected decline in U.S. nonfarm payrolls ​for July.

The rate futures market ⁠has now ⁠priced in ​just a 43.9% chance ​of Fed tightening in ‌September, compared with 57% before the jobs ⁠report, according to LSEG data. The probability that ⁠the ‌Fed will ⁠hold rates next ​month ‌rose to 60.4% ​versus ⁠43.2% just before the data release.

(Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Editing by Toby ​Chopra)