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Lula leads Bolsonaro but gap narrows ahead of Brazil election, poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Aug 5, 2026 | 5:38 AM

SAO PAULO, Aug 5 (Reuters) – Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva continues to lead Senator Flavio ​Bolsonaro, although the right-wing challenger ‌has narrowed the gap with the leftist incumbent ahead of October’s election, a Quaest poll commissioned by brokerage Genial showed ‌on ​Wednesday.

• In a simulated ⁠second-round runoff, Lula ⁠would receive 44%support compared with 39% for Bolsonaro.

• A July 15 Quaest poll had Lula leading Bolsonaro by ​45% to 37%.

• In a first-round scenario, Lula would lead with ⁠39% of the ⁠votes, followed by Bolsonaro (30%), Renan ​Santos (4%), Ronaldo Caiado (4%), and Romeu Zema (2%).

• Senator ​Bolsonaro is the eldest son of ‌former President Jair Bolsonaro.

• The previous poll showed Lula at 40% and Bolsonaro at 28% in the first ⁠round.

• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the first ⁠round, the ‌two frontrunners advance to ⁠a runoff.

• Quaest surveyed 2,004 ​people ‌between July 31 and ​August 3, ⁠with a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

(Reporting by Gabriel Araujo in Sao Paulo and Michael Susin in Barcelona, Editing by Louise Heavens and ​Sharon Singleton)