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Toyota lifts annual forecast despite Q1 profit drop on weak China sales

By Thomson Reuters Aug 4, 2026 | 12:07 AM

TOKYO, Aug 4 (Reuters) – Toyota on Tuesday raised its annual operating profit forecast by 13% to reflect a weaker yen — the upward revision coming despite ​reporting a fifth consecutive quarterly earnings decrease ‌on slumping sales in China.

The world’s largest automaker now expects 3.4 trillion yen ($21.6 billion) in operating profit for the current financial year to end-March, up from its previous forecast of 3 trillion yen.

“In ‌addition ​to revised foreign exchange assumptions, ⁠we steadily accumulated improvements in ⁠our marketing efforts, including increased sales supported by the establishment of alternative logistics routes to the Middle East,” Toyota said in a statement.

The upbeat revision and ​the announcement of a share buyback failed to boost its stock, with shares in the automaker dropping ⁠2.3% in afternoon trade.

Operating profit for ⁠the April-June first quarter declined 9% to ​1.06 trillion yen, compared with a median forecast of 1.11 ​trillion yen in a poll of eight analysts ‌surveyed by LSEG.

The revised annual profit outlook also did not take into account the impact of a deadly earthquake that struck Japan’s Kyushu island last month, disrupting production ⁠at suppliers and forcing Toyota to halt output at four domestic plants.

Toyota said it plans to buy back shares worth ⁠up to 1 ‌trillion yen, equivalent to as much as ⁠4.22% of outstanding stock. It also plans ​to ‌cancel 200 million shares.

It raised its annual ​vehicle shipment ⁠target by 100,000 units to 9.7 million, citing solid demand in North America and Europe, among the few markets where Toyota reported sales growth during the April-June quarter.

($1 = 157.4900 yen)

(Reporting by Daniel Leussink; Writing by Miyoung Kim; Editing ​by Edwina Gibbs)