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UnitedHealth raises 2026 profit forecast on tighter control on medical costs

By Thomson Reuters Jul 16, 2026 | 4:59 AM

By Amina Niasse

NEW YORK, July 16 (Reuters) – UnitedHealth Group on Thursday raised its 2026 profit forecast, as the company had a better handle on medical costs and improved operating income in its Optum health services business, sending its shares up nearly 7% before the bell.

Chief Financial Officer Wayne DeVeydt said cost controls ​in the Medicare health insurance business and increases in payments for Medicaid plans for low-income Americans helped ‌second-quarter results.

On an adjusted basis, UnitedHealth earned $6.38 per share in the second quarter, compared with an average analyst estimate of $4.90, according to data compiled by LSEG.

“These results are not a reflection of a trend bending or coming under control, but rather our efforts to start pushing down what is already an elevated number,” said DeVeydt.

UnitedHealth now expects 2026 adjusted profit per share of $19.50 to $20.00 compared with its original forecast of at least $17.75. ‌Analysts ​expect profit of $18.47 per share for 2026, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Shares ⁠of other insurers also rose in premarket ⁠trading, recovering some ground following Wednesday’s selloff after investors were unimpressed by Elevance’s annual profit hike.

Shares of Centene and Humana climbed nearly 5% each, while those of smaller rival Oscar Health gained 4%. Elevance and Molina’s stock rose nearly 3% each.

UnitedHealth CEO Stephen Hemsley returned to the helm last year after the health insurance company missed financial ​estimates and suffered a nationally disruptive ransomware attack, and after a top executive was killed outside its investor meeting.

Hemsley has refocused the organization and refreshed half of its top leadership, exited some health insurance products, and committed $1.5 billion to ⁠invest in artificial intelligence.

COST CONTROLS

UnitedHealth reported a second-quarter medical cost ratio – the ⁠percentage of premiums spent on medical care – of 86.70%, better than analysts’ estimate of 88.47% ​and the year earlier’s 89.4%.

Health insurance unit UnitedHealthcare reported second-quarter revenue of $86 billion compared with $86.1 billion in the same quarter last ​year, while overall revenue rose to $112 billion from $111.6 billion. That beat analyst expectations of about $111 billion, ‌according to LSEG.

The company said insurance plan design changes and new pricing on products led to improvement in its medical cost ratio.

Higher costs for insurance drove membership decline, particularly for people purchasing plans through the Obamacare marketplace, where extra pandemic-era government subsidies expired, said DeVeydt.

UnitedHealthcare expects 500,000 people to disenroll from Obamacare plans in 2026, DeVeydt said.

The company kept its overall revenue outlook ⁠for 2026 unchanged at $439 billion, DeVeydt said.

OPTUM IMPROVEMENT

On a yearly basis, second-quarter operating income for Optum increased 29% to $4 billion, driven by improved operations at technology segment Optum Insight and better access to care in its clinical unit.

Optum dragged on earnings ⁠in the first quarter as its operating ‌income fell 15% year-over-year to $3.3 billion.

AI tools the company has introduced this year have reduced ⁠administrative burden and increased the amount of time Optum Health clinicians can spend treating ​patients, DeVeydt ‌said.

“We said, with Optum Health, this would be a multi-year journey to return to ​historical growth levels ⁠and margins,” said DeVeydt, who expects revenue growth to fully return in 2028. “I would say we are ahead of schedule in year one.”

UnitedHealth this year pulled back on Medicare Advantage offerings for older adults and Optum exited less favorable contracts for coordinated care plans.

The company last year said Optum faced regulatory and cost challenges, representing an $11 billion blow to the unit over three years.

(Reporting by Amina Niasse in New York, additional reporting by Sneha S K and Sriparna Roy in Bengaluru; Editing by Caroline Humer, ​Christopher Cushing and Shinjini Ganguli)