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French central bank revises growth forecast higher despite heatwave disruption

By Thomson Reuters Jul 9, 2026 | 1:02 PM

PARIS, July 9 (Reuters) – French economic growth strengthened in the second quarter as activity increased in June across industry and rebounded in services and construction, the Bank ​of France said on Thursday, revising its outlook up.

After ‌a weak month in May marked by several public holidays, firms largely managed to sustain activity in June despite a record heatwave late in the month by changing working hours to avoid the hottest parts of the ‌day.

While ​the extreme temperatures slowed some construction ⁠projects and prompted changes to ⁠factory schedules, businesses generally avoided significant disruptions, the central bank said.

Some in the service sector managed to benefit from the heatwave, with hotel demand boosted by customers seeking air-conditioned ​rooms. Orders for cooling systems also increased.

The euro zone’s second-biggest economy likely grew 0.2% in the second quarter after contracting ⁠0.1% in the previous three months, ⁠the Bank of France said, revising its estimate ​up from a flat reading previously.

The upgrade was based mainly on ​services, including stronger consumer services, information and communication, hospitality ‌and transport. Manufacturing was also a source of support, but construction was expected to decline again over the quarter, the bank said.

The central bank’s monthly business sentiment survey of 8,500 firms found ⁠activity strengthened in industry in June and rebounded in services and construction.

Orders in manufacturing were overall around normal levels and an uncertainty ⁠indicator eased back to ‌its level before the Iran war began ⁠at the end of February.

Companies cited international tensions ​and ‌input costs as concerns, although supply chain difficulties ​and pressure ⁠from raw material and energy prices have eased compared with peaks earlier this year.

Business leaders expect activity to continue growing in July versus June, albeit at a more moderate pace in industry and services and only slightly in construction.

(Reporting by Leigh Thomas; editing ​by Barbara Lewis)