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Canada’s services PMI hits four-month low on geopolitical uncertainty

By Thomson Reuters Jul 6, 2026 | 8:48 AM

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, July 6 (Reuters) – Canada’s services economy contracted in June as geopolitical uncertainty and elevated prices dampened demand, S&P Global’s Canada services PMI data ​showed on Monday.

The headline Business Activity Index fell to ‌47.1 last month from 50.6 in May, marking the lowest level since February. A reading below 50 shows a contraction in activity.

“Canada’s service sector returned to contraction territory during June as worries related to ‌geopolitics ​and government policies resurfaced, weighing heavily on ⁠activity and sales,” Paul Smith, ⁠economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said in a statement.

The new business index was at 47.5, down from 49.8 in May, and confidence in the outlook dropped ​to its lowest level since November.

Some shipping has resumed through the Strait of Hormuz following an interim peace deal ⁠between the U.S. and Iran, but ⁠the months-long closure of the vital global supply ​route for oil and liquefied natural gas has lifted inflation ​globally.

Canada has one of the highest food inflation rates ‌among Group of Seven countries. Prime Minister Mark Carney has pledged to invest more than C$1 billion ($704.23 million) to promote competition among grocers and food processors.

“High selling prices were also ⁠noted as being a drag on sales, something that firms themselves were wary of, serving as a check on their pricing power,” ⁠Smith said.

The prices ‌charged index pulled back to 54.5 after ⁠posting in May a nearly three-year high of ​56.7.

The S&P ‌Global Canada Composite PMI fell to 47.9 ​last month ⁠from 50.8 in May, weighed by the decline in service sector activity.

Data on Thursday showed that the S&P Global Canada Manufacturing PMI edged up to 53.0 from 52.9 in May as production and employment rose.

($1 = 1.4200 Canadian dollars)

(Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing ​by Paul Simao)