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Lula leads Senator Bolsonaro in Brazil presidential run-off, poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Jul 1, 2026 | 5:22 AM

SAO PAULO, July 1 (Reuters) – Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva would ​win a potential ‌second-round run-off vote in the October presidential elections against opposition Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg ‌poll ​showed on Wednesday.

Lula ⁠would receive 48.8% ⁠of votes in a second run-off, compared with 42.3% for Flavio Bolsonaro, son ​of ex-President Jair Bolsonaro, the poll showed.

In an ⁠April survey, ⁠the two candidates were ​tied at 48%.

In a first-round ​run-off scenario Lula would lead ‌with 46.3% of the votes, followed by Flavio Bolsonaro with 36.6%, Renan ⁠Santos at 7.8%, Ronaldo Caiado at 2.9%, and Romeu Zema at ⁠2.0%, ‌the poll found.

The AtlasIntel/Bloomberg ⁠poll surveyed 4,999 ​people ‌between June 26 and ​30; the ⁠poll has a margin of error of one percentage point in either direction.

(Reporting by Andre Romani; Editing by ​Michael Perry)