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Tesla Q2 deliveries expected to rebound as Europe sales recover

By Thomson Reuters Jun 30, 2026 | 3:41 PM

June 30 (Reuters) – Tesla is expected to report a 5% rise in vehicle deliveries on Thursday for the second quarter.

The gain is likely to stem from ​higher demand in Europe, where a sharp jump ‌in fuel prices has pushed consumers to choose battery-powered cars.

While demand in China is expected to be stable, U.S. sales are still pressured by the expiry of the $7,500 Biden-era federal EV tax credit in September.

• ‌Wall ​Street expects Tesla’s EV deliveries in ⁠the June quarter to rise ⁠to 402,780 vehicles, according to 20 analysts polled by Visible Alpha. That is a 4.9% rise year-over-year and a 12.5% jump compared with three months ago.

• Deutsche Bank ​expects the largest regional growth to come from Europe at nearly 40%, followed by China at 3% and a ⁠slump of 21% from the ⁠prior year in North America.

• Tesla does not ​detail regional deliveries.

• Rising fuel prices driven by the Iran war ​are boosting demand for new and used electric ‌vehicles across Europe

• Recovery in Europe follows a year of plummeting sales in the region in 2025 with a backlash against CEO Elon Musk’s far-right political rhetoric.

• Analysts say the ⁠rollout of Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) advanced driver assistance system could boost demand in Europe, although the software has so far been allowed ⁠in only a ‌handful of countries. An EU vote on ⁠a broader rollout is expected later this ​year.

• Several ‌countries across Europe are expected to report ​monthly and ⁠quarterly automotive sales figures on Wednesday

• In an effort to boost sales, Tesla over the past year has launched lower-cost versions of its Model 3 and Model Y vehicles

(Reporting by Akash Sriram in Bengaluru and Abhirup Roy in San Francisco; Editing ​by Cynthia Osterman)