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Brazil’s gross debt tops forecasts as interest burden mounts in May

By Thomson Reuters Jun 30, 2026 | 7:33 AM

BRASILIA, June 30 (Reuters) – Brazil’s gross debt rose more than expected in May, central bank data showed on Tuesday, as ​the country’s rising interest bill pushed borrowing ‌higher.

Debt reached 81.1% of gross domestic product, up from 80.2% in April and above the 80.7% forecast in a Reuters poll.

By the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) metric — ‌which ​includes all Treasury securities, ⁠unlike the central bank’s ⁠measure that excludes those held off-market on its balance sheet — gross debt climbed to 94.3% of GDP, from 92.9% the previous month.

Brazil’s ​debt level remains well above the IMF’s projected 77.2% average for emerging and developing ⁠economies in 2026, a ⁠gap that keeps risk premiums elevated ​as investors demand compensation to finance growing government ​spending amid concerns about fiscal discipline.

Nominal interest ‌payments totaled 107.547 billion reais ($20.7 billion) in May, lifting the 12-month interest bill to 8.48% of GDP, the highest since February 2016, ⁠when Brazil was facing a severe economic recession.

The public sector posted a primary deficit of 56.131 billion reais ⁠for the ‌month, wider than the 53.5 ⁠billion reais expected in the Reuters ​poll, ‌taking the 12-month shortfall to 1.14% ​of GDP.

Combined ⁠with the interest burden, Brazil’s public sector posted a nominal deficit of 9.62% of GDP in the 12 months through May.

($1 = 5.1865 reais)

(Reporting by Marcela Ayres; Editing by Andrew Heavens and ​Emelia Sithole-Matarise)