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IMF says energy, commodity prices fall after Iran deal but will take time to normalize

By Thomson Reuters Jun 25, 2026 | 10:16 AM

WASHINGTON, June 25 (Reuters) – The International Monetary Fund said on Thursday that it ​has seen energy and ‌commodity prices fall since the U.S.-Iran agreement to halt hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ‌but ​it will take ⁠time for prices ⁠and Gulf trade flows to normalize.

IMF spokesperson Julie Kozack said that in the next ​update of its World Economic Outlook on July ⁠8, the Fund ⁠will decide whether to ​continue with the three growth ​scenarios that it presented in ‌April that depended on Iran war outcomes.

As the Strait of Hormuz remained closed in ⁠May, keeping benchmark oil prices above $100 per barrel, Kozack had said ⁠that ‌the global economy was ⁠moving from the more ​benign “reference ‌forecast,” which had assumed ​a ⁠quick end to the conflict, to an “adverse scenario” with 2.5% global growth for 2025.

(Reporting by David Lawder, Editing by ​Franklin Paul)