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IMF urges Fed caution on inflation as Warsh prepares to chair first policy meeting

By Thomson Reuters Jun 4, 2026 | 10:19 AM

WASHINGTON, June 4 (Reuters) – The International Monetary Fund on Thursday urged the Federal Reserve ​in its first policy ‌meeting led by new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to stay cautious on rates due to persistent upside ‌inflation ​risks from ⁠energy price shocks and ⁠increasing pass-through of higher tariff costs.

IMF spokesperson Julie Kozack told a regular press briefing ​that the Fund now forecasts that a return of ⁠inflation to the ⁠Fed’s 2% target will ​be delayed to the end ​of 2027, compared with its previous ‌forecast of mid-2027 for reaching that goal.

“So we’ve now delayed a bit further the ⁠return to target,” Kozack said. “We do see sort of upside risk to ⁠inflation, ‌and that it implies ⁠that the Fed’s policy ​actions ‌will need to proceed ​with ⁠caution and will need to be carefully calibrated to incoming data.”

The Fed’s policy-setting committee next meets on June 16-17.

(Reporting by ​David Lawder)