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Japan keeps view economy recovering but warns risk from Middle East

By Thomson Reuters May 26, 2026 | 3:35 AM

TOKYO, May 26 (Reuters) – Japan’s government retained its assessment in May that the economy was recovering moderately, while warning that tensions in the Middle ​East and fluctuations in financial markets remain ‌key risks to the outlook.

Here are the main points from the report:

• On private consumption, the assessment was unchanged as “showing movements of picking up”, but cautioning that consumer sentiment has been weak ‌recently.

• ​On business investment, capital spending was ⁠again described as “picking up”.

• ⁠On exports, the government kept its view as “almost flat”. Exports to the Middle East, centred mainly on automobiles, have fallen significantly although they account for ​only 4% of total shipments.

• On imports, stable on the whole but crude oil imports from the ⁠Middle East decreased significantly in ⁠April. The government is proceeding with alternative ​sourcing for crude oil, which it expects to make up ​for about 80% of the required quantity by ‌June.

• On industrial production, output remains “flat”, unchanged from the previous report.

• On corporate earnings, the government struck a slightly upbeat note to say profits “are showing movements of ⁠improvement” while urging a watchful eye on the impact of Middle East developments.

• On prices, consumer prices continued to be ⁠described as “rising moderately”. ‌Corporate goods prices have been “rising recently”, ⁠it said, from April’s “rising moderately”.

• On the ​outlook, ‌the government kept its view that improvements ​in employment ⁠and income conditions, along with the effects of various policies, are expected to support a gradual recovery. The authorities will continue monitoring the impact of the Middle East situation, financial and capital market volatility.

(Reporting by Kaori Kaneko;Editing ​by Shri Navaratnam)