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Goldman Sachs lifts S&P 500 year-end target to 8,000 on strong earnings outlook

By Thomson Reuters May 26, 2026 | 10:38 PM

May 26 (Reuters) – Goldman Sachs has raised its 2026 year-end forecast for the S&P 500 index to 8,000 from 7,600, ​citing continued strength in corporate earnings.

The ‌target is 6.4% higher than the index’s last close of 7,519.12.

“Earnings growth has powered the entire S&P 500 return so far this year, and we expect ‌this ​dynamic to continue in ⁠the coming months,” Goldman ⁠Sachs said in a note on Tuesday.

The brokerage also raised its S&P 500 earnings-per-share forecasts to $340 for 2026, implying 24% year-on-year ​growth, and to $385 for 2027, a further 13% increase.

Goldman’s move adds to a growing ⁠wave of bullish calls ⁠from brokerages, with UBS GWM the ​latest to lift its outlook last week, citing ​robust AI-driven earnings that could help offset ‌inflationary pressures and supply risks from the Iran conflict.

The brokerage said AI infrastructure beneficiaries are set to drive about half of the ⁠index’s earnings growth this year, adding that while weak consumer spending and elevated costs pose risks, strong ⁠AI investments ‌would offset these pressures.

“In addition, ⁠while S&P 500 earnings estimates have ​risen ‌more quickly than index price ​appreciation, the ⁠semiconductor stocks at the heart of the AI infrastructure complex have recently outpaced their forward earnings,” analysts at Goldman Sachs said.

(Reporting by Kanishka Ajmera in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips and ​Rashmi Aich)