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Germany faces Q2 stagnation, rising prices due to Iran war, Bundesbank says

By Thomson Reuters May 21, 2026 | 5:04 AM

FRANKFURT, May 21 (Reuters) – Inflation in Germany is trending upwards and economic growth will likely be flat ​during the second quarter, ‌hit by rising fuel expenses and uncertainty due to the Iran war, the Bundesbank said on Thursday.

• “The inflation rate is likely ‌to ​remain high in the ⁠coming months,” the ⁠Bundesbank said in a monthly report, adding that the rate could rise further in Europe’s largest economy, depending ​on further developments in the Middle East

• The economy will likely ⁠stagnate in the ⁠second quarter, as higher energy ​prices weigh on demand by private ​households and on companies’ investment and ‌production plans

• German inflation rose to 2.9% in April, from 2.8% in March, according to preliminary data from ⁠last month, largely driven by a spike in oil and gas prices

• The federal ⁠economy ministry ‌warned last week that ⁠economic growth in Germany, which ​was ‌just 0.3% in the first ​quarter, ⁠will likely take a significant hit from the effects of the Iran war in the second quarter

(Reporting by Ludwig Burger and Rene Wagner; editing by ​Matthias Williams)