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Lula tops Brazil poll after report linking Bolsonaro to disgraced banker

By Thomson Reuters May 19, 2026 | 5:45 AM

SAO PAULO, May 19 (Reuters) – Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva led Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the first major poll for this year’s ​presidential election conducted since the publication of ‌a report alleging ties between the right-wing challenger and a disgraced banker.

Lula would win a potential second-round runoff against Flavio by 48.9% to 41.8%, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed on Tuesday. An ‌April ​survey had the son of ⁠former President Jair Bolsonaro ⁠at 47.8% to Lula’s 47.5%.

• Lula also led a first-round scenario with 47%, followed by Flavio at 34.3%, Renan Santos at 6.9%, Romeu Zema at 5.2% ​and Ronaldo Caiado at 2.7%

• In Brazil, if no candidate gets more than 50% of valid ⁠votes, the two frontrunners go to ⁠a second-round vote

• Latin America’s largest ​economy will hold a national election in October

• The poll ​was conducted after Intercept Brasil published a story ‌alleging Flavio negotiated a commitment of 134 million reais ($26.85 million) from former Banco Master owner Daniel Vorcaro to finance a film about the life of his father

• ⁠Flavio has denied any wrongdoing, confirming that Vorcaro had agreed to finance the film but saying the deal was ⁠a “private sponsorship”, with ‌no favors in return

• Vorcaro’s attorney ⁠declined to comment. He has been in ​custody ‌since March accused of trying to bribe ​a former ⁠central bank director, which he denies

• AtlasIntel surveyed 5,032 people between May 13-18

• The poll has a margin of error of 1 percentage point in either direction($1 = 4.9902 reais)

(Reporting by Gabriel Araujo; Editing by Andrew Heavens ​and Alex Richardson)