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Wall St futures fall as AI rally cools; inflation data in focus

By Thomson Reuters May 12, 2026 | 5:05 AM

By Ragini Mathur and Utkarsh Hathi

May 12 (Reuters) – U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Tuesday as a rally in chip stocks lost steam and hopes for a quick resolution to the Middle East war faded, while investors looked ​ahead to a key inflation report.

President Donald Trump said a ceasefire with Iran ‌was “on life support” after Tehran rejected a U.S. proposal to end the conflict, keeping oil prices elevated as the key Strait of Hormuz shipping route remained closed. Crude futures climbed nearly 3%.

Although a strong earnings season has helped bolster market sentiment, the lack of progress in negotiations between Washington and Tehran remains ‌a ​concern for market watchers as surging oil prices fuel ⁠worries of higher inflation.

A consumer inflation ⁠report due at 8:30 a.m. ET is expected to draw close scrutiny for signs of broader price pressures. The consumer price index is forecast to have risen 0.6% last month, after a 0.9% jump in March, according to a Reuters survey of ​economists.

“The risks are skewed to a hotter-than-expected increase in prices, and while headline numbers may not move the dial, a higher-than-forecast core number could at least put a ⁠temporary brake on market optimism,” said Derren Nathan, head ⁠of equity research, Hargreaves Lansdown.

Markets are no longer pricing in policy ​easing in 2026 after rapid repricing in recent weeks. Ahead of the war, traders had ​expected two rate cuts, per CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, and briefly priced ‌in chances of a rate hike about a month into the conflict.

Producer prices and retail sales data are also due this week, with investors turning to macroeconomic cues as the first-quarter earnings season draws to a close.

At 07:10 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 29 points, or 0.06%, and S&P 500 ⁠E-minis were down 28.5 points, or 0.38%. Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 242 points, or 0.82%.

All three major U.S. stock indexes advanced on Monday, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq notching fresh record closing highs, supported by continued ⁠optimism around artificial intelligence and ‌the health of Corporate America.

That AI-linked momentum cooled on Tuesday, ⁠with most chip stocks trading lower before the bell.

Intel shares eased ​3.9% ‌in premarket trading after climbing more than 17% in the previous ​two sessions.

Among ⁠other movers, Hims & Hers Health tumbled 15% after the telehealth firm missed Wall Street estimates for first-quarter revenue and posted a surprise loss.

GameStop slipped 4% after online marketplace eBay rejected the videogame retailer’s $56 billion takeover bid. eBay was down 0.6%.

Venture Global rose 8.5% after the LNG exporter raised its annual adjusted core profit forecast.

(Reporting by Ragini Mathur and Utkarsh Hathi in Bengaluru; ​Editing by Devika Syamnath)