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Australia business confidence shaken as costs climb, survey shows

By Thomson Reuters May 11, 2026 | 8:33 PM

SYDNEY, May 12 (Reuters) – Australian business confidence remained mired in gloom in April, a survey showed on Tuesday, as spiking energy costs from ​the Middle East war squeezed profit margins ‌and pressured investment plans.

The survey from National Australia Bank showed its index of business confidence improved only marginally to -24 in April, having dived 29 points to -29 in March, the second-largest ‌monthly ​fall in history.

Its measure of ⁠business conditions fell 3 ⁠points to +3, the second-lowest reading since 2020 and the fourth straight month of decline.

“The survey suggests that rising prices and pressure on margins are beginning ​to affect activity and investment measures, as forward orders, capex, cash flow and employment have all ⁠fallen noticeably in recent months ⁠and are sitting well below their respective ​long-run averages,” said Michael Hayes, an economist at NAB.

Forward ​orders fell a further 4 points in April ‌to be down 11 points since February and well below their long-run average. Capital expenditure slid 8 points in the largest such drop in the post-COVID ⁠period.

Measures of costs all rose sharply in the month, with purchase costs up 4.5% at a quarterly pace and ⁠well above selling ‌prices at 1.8%. Retail price growth ⁠climbed to 3.2%, from 0.6%.

The Reserve ​Bank ‌of Australia has raised interest rates three ​times in ⁠a row to reach 4.35% as it battles to control stubborn inflation. Policy makers are concerned businesses will pass on rising energy costs to consumers and stoke expectations of future inflation.

(Reporting by Wayne Cole; Editing ​by Edwina Gibbs)