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ECB’s Schnabel sees ‘disconnect’ between stock market valuations and geopolitics

By Thomson Reuters May 7, 2026 | 1:02 PM

LONDON, May 7 (Reuters) – European Central Bank board member Isabel Schnabel said on Thursday that ​there appeared to be ‌a disconnect between record stock market valuations and the risks facing the global economy.

“There really seems to be ‌a ​kind of disconnect,” ⁠she said at ⁠an event at the London School of Economics. “One could question whether … markets are possibly a ​bit complacent here,” about the impacts of the Iran conflict.

Schnabel ⁠said markets appeared ⁠to assume that damage ​to energy supply chains from the ​Iran war would be rapidly ‌reversed – something she viewed as unlikely – and had very optimistic expectations for productivity gains from ⁠artificial intelligence.

• She also touched on concerns around the private credit sector. She ⁠said ‌it was too small ⁠for now in Europe ​to ‌bring systemic risk.

• There ​needs to ⁠be greater transparency on the sector though before it reaches a systemic scale.

(Reporting by David Milliken; editing by Marc Jones and ​Chizu Nomiyama)