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Goldman says global oil stocks approaching eight-year low, depletion speed a concern

By Thomson Reuters May 4, 2026 | 1:52 PM

May 4 (Reuters) – Global oil stocks are approaching their lowest level in eight years, Goldman Sachs said on ​Monday, warning that the speed ‌of depletion was becoming a concern as supplies through the Strait of Hormuz remained restricted.

Oil prices jumped about 6% on Monday after ‌Iran ​hit several ships in ⁠the Strait of ⁠Hormuz and set a UAE oil port ablaze, as President Donald Trump’s attempt to use the U.S. Navy to ​free up shipping provoked the biggest escalation since a ceasefire was declared ⁠four weeks ago. [O/R]

The ⁠bank estimated total global oil ​stocks stood at 101 days of global ​demand and could fall to 98 days ‌by the end of May.

Goldman added that while total global stocks are “unlikely to hit minimum operational levels this ⁠summer, the speed of depletion and supply losses in some regions and products is concerning.”

The bank ⁠estimated ‌that global commercial refined products ⁠stocks have drawn down from ​50 ‌DoD before the U.S.-Israeli war ​on Iran ⁠to 45 DoD now. The bank added that easily accessible refined products buffers were fast approaching very low levels.

(Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; Editing by ​Deepa Babington)